May 11, 2024
TSN: Doing Well Controlling Controllables; Some Things Simply Uncontrollable
As expected, TSN reported strong Q2 upside relative to our estimate. The Chicken performance was much improved from the prior year, but the upside relative to us was driven by a much smaller-than-expected loss in…
April 22, 2024
HJR Protein Roundup: Updated Supply Outlook; Demand Broadly ‘OK’, but Potential Challenges
With the exception of beef packers (est losses in the $200-ish/head range), the protein complex has enjoyed robust margins. We estimate that the average BB broiler producer is generating profits approaching $0.30/lb, while small- and…
April 8, 2024
Coverage Overview
As we noted in our industry notes published earlier today, we are not utilizing the typical rating system, but instead, are using a forced rank process. This note shows current ranking based upon Friday’s close.
April 3, 2024
TSN: Initiating Coverage, $60 PT
Tyson has long been known as a ‘chicken’ company, but over the past several years, Beef carried the day, as certain other key businesses struggled, reflecting both challenging industry fundamentals and company-specific issues. The task…