August 5, 2026
DAR: Updated Estimates, Outlook
Darling put up robust Q2 results reflecting broad-based strength in the legacy business and DGD. Interestingly, the legacy Feed business showed greater yr/yr improvement than the underlying fats and meal markets would suggest, in our…
July 27, 2026
DAR: Updated Estimates, Outlook
We believe Darling’s core business likely performed much stronger than anticipated during Q2. Initially, management guided to EBITDA of $260-$275M, but due to fats pricing that can only be described as robust, as well as…
June 25, 2026
HJR Protein: Q2 Postmortem and Outlook
Q2 markets were characterized by continued margin deterioration. QTD broiler margins improved sequentially but currently lag the Q1 average. Both fresh pork and hog production margins contracted yr/yr and beef margins deteriorated further. Unsurprisingly, the…
May 20, 2026
China’s Ag Evolution: Global S&D Implications
China’s latest (15th) Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) approved this past March echoed the 14th FYP’s emphasis upon foodstuff security as a priority. The latest iteration calls out diversification and modernization of agricultural systems as key to…
May 10, 2026
DAR: Updated Estimates, Outlook
Darling reported Q1 results that were a little better than expected on the core business. DGD came in ahead of our estimate on the heels of a large LCM adjustment, which was not in our…
April 16, 2026
DAR: Updated Estimates, Outlook
We have raised our Q1 and full-year 2026 estimates, as well as our 2027 projection. Q1 EBITDA goes to $375M ($359M), while 2026 and 2027 go to $1.615B and $1.73B, respectively ($1.46B and $1.615B). Our…
April 2, 2026
Normal and Blue Sky
After a long and angst/speculation-ridden wait, the EPA released its finalized RVOs last week. The rule was essentially in-line with expectations as details had been thoroughly leaked prior to publication. That said, the mandated D4…
March 20, 2026
Iran War: Impact to Coverage
Our coverage is greatly impacted by most global conflicts, given its intersection with global grain and energy markets. The Iran conflict’s impact on energy prices was immediate, but reverberations are expanding each day as critical…
February 20, 2026
DAR: Updated Estimates, Outlook
Darling delivered a constructive Q4 with both the legacy business and DGD exceeding expectations. Further, the Q1 guide ($240-$250M for the core) was better than we had anticipated. The Q4 showing and Q1 guide in…
January 21, 2026
HJR Agribusiness: Estimate Revisions
The landscape for our agribusiness coverage has been in near constant flux. Encouragingly, clarity in the most impactful area – biofuel policy – seems imminent and directionally bullish. Trade dynamics, however, have remained volatile and…
