April 2, 2026
Normal and Blue Sky
After a long and angst/speculation-ridden wait, the EPA released its finalized RVOs last week. The rule was essentially in-line with expectations as details had been thoroughly leaked prior to publication. That said, the mandated D4…
March 20, 2026
Iran War: Impact to Coverage
Our coverage is greatly impacted by most global conflicts, given its intersection with global grain and energy markets. The Iran conflict’s impact on energy prices was immediate, but reverberations are expanding each day as critical…
January 26, 2026
HJR Protein: Updated Outlook/Est Revisions
S&D dynamics should remain favorable for much of our coverage in 2026, but we continue to believe full-year conditions will be looser than last year in both the U.S. and ROW. Given disease and weather,…
January 21, 2026
HJR Agribusiness: Estimate Revisions
The landscape for our agribusiness coverage has been in near constant flux. Encouragingly, clarity in the most impactful area – biofuel policy – seems imminent and directionally bullish. Trade dynamics, however, have remained volatile and…
October 6, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Biofuel Policy = Ag Policy
The global grains/oilseed complex is currently characterized by excess production and processing capacity. Trade tensions has exacerbated the imbalance for U.S. producers. A massive, sustained new demand driver is required – genetics and improved agronomic…
September 15, 2025
HJR Protein: Shifting Supply Dynamics
Total domestic meat supply conditions have begun to ease in recent weeks despite tighter beef conditions. That largely reflects expanded chicken production, but is compounded by continued yr/yr deterioration in total net exports (exports less…
August 13, 2025
HJR Protein: NWS Scourge Discussion
New World Screwworm (NWS) has garnered significant media attention over the past weeks, particularly following the second closure of US-Mexico livestock crossings in early July. The lack of live cattle entering the US has exacerbated…
July 30, 2025
HJR Protein: Supply Outlook Murky
For multiple oft-discussed reasons, U.S. protein availability has been constrained which, combined with robust demand, has driven extremely strong pricing (and margins for chicken companies and hog producers). In recent months, supply conditions have loosened…
July 17, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Trump Coke Announcement
Late yesterday, Trump stated on Truth Social (likely in a nod to the MAHA cohort) that Coke agreed to start using cane sugar in ‘Coke in the U.S.’ Later, Coke released a comment stating details…
June 24, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Biofuels Update
The recent RVO proposal laid out far more bullish targets than we had anticipated, and also put forward potential modifications to RIN values for imported fuels/feedstocks. That, combined with potential changes to 45Z rules, results…