January 26, 2026
HJR Protein: Updated Outlook/Est Revisions
S&D dynamics should remain favorable for much of our coverage in 2026, but we continue to believe full-year conditions will be looser than last year in both the U.S. and ROW. Given disease and weather,…
January 21, 2026
HJR Agribusiness: Estimate Revisions
The landscape for our agribusiness coverage has been in near constant flux. Encouragingly, clarity in the most impactful area – biofuel policy – seems imminent and directionally bullish. Trade dynamics, however, have remained volatile and…
October 6, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Biofuel Policy = Ag Policy
The global grains/oilseed complex is currently characterized by excess production and processing capacity. Trade tensions has exacerbated the imbalance for U.S. producers. A massive, sustained new demand driver is required – genetics and improved agronomic…
September 15, 2025
HJR Protein: Shifting Supply Dynamics
Total domestic meat supply conditions have begun to ease in recent weeks despite tighter beef conditions. That largely reflects expanded chicken production, but is compounded by continued yr/yr deterioration in total net exports (exports less…
August 13, 2025
HJR Protein: NWS Scourge Discussion
New World Screwworm (NWS) has garnered significant media attention over the past weeks, particularly following the second closure of US-Mexico livestock crossings in early July. The lack of live cattle entering the US has exacerbated…
July 30, 2025
HJR Protein: Supply Outlook Murky
For multiple oft-discussed reasons, U.S. protein availability has been constrained which, combined with robust demand, has driven extremely strong pricing (and margins for chicken companies and hog producers). In recent months, supply conditions have loosened…
July 17, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Trump Coke Announcement
Late yesterday, Trump stated on Truth Social (likely in a nod to the MAHA cohort) that Coke agreed to start using cane sugar in ‘Coke in the U.S.’ Later, Coke released a comment stating details…
June 24, 2025
HJR Ag Brief: Biofuels Update
The recent RVO proposal laid out far more bullish targets than we had anticipated, and also put forward potential modifications to RIN values for imported fuels/feedstocks. That, combined with potential changes to 45Z rules, results…
May 30, 2025
BZ’s Competitive Advantage Accelerates as Logistics Cost Gap Shrinks
Brazil’s farmers have long benefited from both the ability to produce 2-3 crops per year and relatively low land conversion costs. Technological improvements have fostered higher yields that have improved its cost profile further (BZ…
May 28, 2025
Meat Demand Muted, but Pricing Supported by Multiple Cross-Species Supply Challenges
Overall domestic consumer demand has been broadly weak, but meat has fared better due to diet changes. Recently, there are even indications meat demand is slowing in response to torrid price gains, as well as…